2021 Mar 27

Alexander Povetkin vs. Dillian Whyte

12 rounds, for Povetkins WBC interim heavyweight title

Dillian Whyte will get his chance for revenge this saturday when he faces Alexander Povetkin for the second time. Whyte was winning the first fight and dropped Povetkin twice before he got caught with a monstrous punch that knocked him out cold. Their first meeting took place in August of 2020 and they were supposed to meet again only a few months after that but the fight got postponed and now it will have been around 7 months since their first fight and this was probably the best that could happen to Dillian Whyte as he have had a lot of time to proccess and get over the knockout loss. He might not even realise that himself as he wanted to fight Povetkin as soon as possible after the first fight. Getting in the ring again just three months after getting knocked out cold is a very bad idea so this was a blessing in disguise for him. The issue with Whyte seems to be that he gets caught with big punches that severly hurt him in almost every fight nowadays. Whyte is 32 years old and Povetkin is 40 years old. That is a big difference and Povetkin really looks his age. One of the reasons why Povetkin still is having good success at the highest level is because of his pedigree and experience. Let´s remeber he did win a Gold Medal at the Olympic Games in Athens 2004. You don´t win a Gold Medal unless you are very talented and he was that in his best days. This rematch feels like a 50/50 affair and we do not agree with oddsmakers who have installed Whyte as a -350 favorite (1.30 decimal odds). Yes whyte is younger and fresher but Whyte did get caught the first time around and it wasn´t a lucky punch and he has had no other fights since then so there is no way of telling how he will react to punches on saturday night. We expect Povetkin to look just as usual in this fight and even at 40 years he is still a hard nights work for anyone.

The value is with Povetkin here. Like we said, this is close to a 50/50 fight but you are getting underpaid if you play Whyte and overpaid if you play Povetkin so that´s where the value is. We see the same thing happening all over again. Povetkin has done it before and that will play a big difference for his inner self-belief. There is not much value in determining how Povetkin will win because Povetkin to win straight up pays +250 (3.50 decimal odds) and Povetkin by ko pays only +320 (4.20 decimal odds). So our pick is Alexander Povetkin to win the fight and this covers us if there were to be a technical decision in his favor although that is unlikely and in case the fight is a draw the bet will be void and we get the money back.

The Pick: Alexander Povetkin to win the fight
Odds: +250 (3.50 decimal odds)
Units: 3
Start time: