2021 Feb 20

Miguel Berchelt vs. Oscar Valdez

12 rounds, for Berchelts WBC junior lightweight title

Miguel Berchelt (37-1) has been quite the wrecking train since he became the WBC Super featherweight Champion 4 years ago and has been on an impressive run since then. He is big, powerful and has a very strong offense. Oscar Valdez will be his stiffest test since he won the belt. Valdez is unbeaten with a professional record of 28 wins and no losses but he is the naturally smaller guy. Valdez has been in many grueling wars already and he has taken some punishment in his career which is why many insiders are giving him no chance of upsetting Berchelt. The good thing for Valdez is that he now trains with the Canelo team and the whole team are winners. There attitude is that of winner and they all exude confidence. This might play a big role of the outcome of this fight since the mental part is crucially important in boxing. Eddy reynoso has been working on making sure he takes less punishment in the ring and trades punches less with hard-hitting opponents such as Berchelt so you can be sure that Valdez will try to be smart and outpoint Berchelt in this one as to not get caught with something big. Berchelt is a big favorite going in, bigger than one would expect given Oscar valdez experience and pedigree. Berchelt is a -400 (1.25 decimal odds) favorite and Valdez is priced at +300 (4.00 decimal odds).

This fight might be closer than it looks on paper and we expect Reynoso to come up with a master plan for Valdez. All the value is with Valdez when looking at the wide odds. Oscar Valdez to win the fight will be our main pick and then we are recommending a smaller bet on Oscar Valdez by Decision which pays an incredible +700 (8.00 decimal odds)

The Pick: Oscar Valdez to win the fight
Odds: +300 (4.00 decimal odds)
Units: 2
Start time: 9pm ET / 6pm PT
The Pick: Oscar Valdez by decision
Odds: +700 (8.00 decimal odds)
Units: 1
Start time: 9pm ET / 6pm PT