2021 Jan 02

Ryan Garcia vs. Luke Campbell

12 rounds, for the vacant WBC interim lightweight title

Ryan Garcia has been touted as the next big thing in Boxing despite having never beaten anyone of note. So far he has only faced mediocre fighters with a style that suited him very well. Against those guys he has really looked spectacular in spots. He has only went ten rounds on two different occasions and he looked tired towards the end both times. Many people are expecting a quick and explosive knockout win for Ryan Garcia but Luke Campbell is a very good fighter. Campbell has much more experience as both an amateur and a professional and he really has seen it all. The same can´t be said about Garcia who still has a lot of question marks that needs to be answered. The fight is taking place in Texas with Garcia´s promoter behind the show. Garcia is already such a big star in Boxing that it is difficult seeing him losing a decision against a relatively unknown fighter from the UK in Luke Campbell. Garcia is the biggest star that Golden Boy has left in their stable now that Canelo is gone and they will try their best to make sure he is victorious in his fights. Luke Campbell has lost before but it has always been against good fighters. His loss against Jorge Linares looked more like a win to us despite him being knocked down. He was outboxing Linares badly for good stretches of the fight but you don’t see that of course in the highlight videos. Garcia is a favorite to win this fight but he wouldn’t be as a big of a favorite had the fight been taking place in the UK. sign in to view our prediction & pick

In our view Garcia will have a very difficult time with Campbell and he will not find him with his big shots cleanly enough to knock him out like many people expect. Campbell will outbox him for good stretches of the fight and it will be a close contest. Campbell will not run in to something silly, he is too smart for that. The value in this fight is picking that the fight goes Over 8.5 Rounds as we don’t see Garcia stopping him. On the contrary there is a possibility that Campbell breaks Garcia down and gets a late stoppage on the last quarter of the fight. However, the most likely outcome of this fight is that it Goes The Distance and the Over 8.5 Rounds is the safe play here with most value. There might be some controversy on the cards in this fight.

The Pick: Over 8.5 Rounds
Odds: -110 (1.90 decimal odds)
Units: 1
Start time: 4pm ET / 1pm PT