Josesito Lopez (37-8-3) has had a long career and he has fought many top class opponents and given them tough fights. When you thought that his career was over he came back several times with good wins. Francisco Santana (25-8-1) has also upset the odds several times in his career and he is an overperformer considering that he isn´t the most talented guy technically. He has a win over Felix Diaz which is something he can be proud of and brag about for the rest of his life. How many fighters can say that they have beaten an Olympic Gold Medalist? Santana did just that and he will always have that with him. Santana has also shown time and time again that he is a very difficult guy to stop having went the distance with big guys and big punchers. In his last fight he went the distance with Jarrett Hurd who is considerably bigger than Josesito Lopez and he went the distance. He has also went the distance with: Abel Ramos, Jose Benavidez jr, Jermell Charlo to name a few. Lopez knocked out John Molina jr in his last fight which was a good win for him. The line for this fight is Lopez -350 and Santana +260. The odds should be way closer than that in our estimation.
We think that this fight is close to a 50/50 fight and there is real value in Francisco Santana. We think that this will be a distance fight and the odds for Santana by decision currently stands at +450 (5.50 decimal odds) and that is what we are taking. The Pick is Francisco Santana to win this fight by Decision.