2019 Nov 02

Miguel Berchelt vs. Jason Sosa

12 rounds, for Berchelt's WBC junior lightweight title
Miguel berchelt (36-1) vs. Jason Sosa (23-3-4) will meet this saturdau in a very interesting match-up. Berchelt has opened as a huge favourite with the odds on Sosa currently being 11/1. Sosa in our estimation should not be that big of an underdog. The bookmakers simply don´t believe that Sosa will win the fight so therefor they are offering odds that are that big because they want to encourage bettors to pick him. The reality is that Sosa has a chance of winning but Berchelt is the better fighter of the two, no doubt about it. We have found the best bet for this fight.

This fight is not expected to go the distance. They are expecting a knockout in the first 4-5 rounds which we dont think is likely. The figure that if Berchelt dominates he will land something big withing a few rounds and take Sosa out and they also figure that if something unexpected happens like Sosa landing something big, it will also be early in the fight. We on Boxingpick see it otherwise. we have to rememer that both these guys have very good chins. Sosa who is expected to take more punishment of the two is very strong physically and takes a really good shot. We see this fight going into the later rounds. If there is a knockout in this fight, it happens late. The Over/Under line is 6.5 for a price of -110 (1.90 decimal odds). That is a very good line and it is the play in this fight with most value. The Pick is Over 6.5 Rounds for a price of -110 (1.90 decimal odds)

The Pick: Over 6.5 Rounds
Odds: -110 (1.90 decimal odds)
Units: 5
Start time: 10pm ET / 7pm PT