Erislandy Lara has been off for 11 months. Who knows if he has rusted or rested. We suspect rest. The Hurd fight was grueling. Castano has also been off. He doesn't have alot of fights but he's experienced. He fought well vs Sergey Derevyanchenko and Errol Spence as an amateur. However, Lara is the known commodity in this fight. Castano is unknown. We know what Lara is. Don't expect Lara to dominate but we do expect him to win. In this fight expect Lara to be the puncher and Castano to be the busy body worker. Lara rarely stops his better opposition. Castano is a pressure technician. Expect a highly competitive distance fight. So the best value in this fight is to play the Over bet.